Wales vs South Africa Review – Nations Championship 2026
South Africa 43 – 0 Wales
Predictably, the Springboks were much better than Wales. Because they are. For much of the game, Wales were on the back foot trying to hold off a relentless set of carries not dissimilar to the Argentinian onslaught of the previous week. A lesser team would’ve retreated into a shell of nihilism against a seemingly unstoppable force, but credit to Wales for keeping their heads in the game for 80 minutes. Even by the end, down over 30 points and scoreless, Wales were never timid or doubtful on either side of the ball, forcing their world-class opponents to take risks that didn’t necessarily pay off. Compared to their 73-0 demolition last year, Wales clearly had a plan to counter the Boks weapons, and they generally worked well; to be clear, the Boks scored similarly against England and Scotland, who are considerably more well-equipped to strike back than Wales.
Still, the key problem with Wales’ performance can’t be ignored; yet another scoreless game, even against a team as potent as South Africa, can’t really be accepted as a “win”. The positives illustrate how far Wales have come, but it’s been almost a year since Tandy took charge, so you’d expect more than a mentality shift. The scrum went backwards at a rate of knots, the attack was blunt and felt futile in parts, and Wales had no real weapons to challenge a team of players who know how to win games at the highest level. Even when the Boks were clumsy and ill-disciplined, Wales couldn’t capitalise.
Wales’ broader defence also hasn’t been great, though there have been slow improvements over the course of the campaign. Not statistically; they’re still only tackling 83% of the time, but that statistics hides the progressively improving scale of their opposition, while their scramble defence remains as strong as ever. The good news is that these weaknesses are tangible and fixable, the issue is that Wales haven’t much time to improve on them to reach the top tiers before the World Cup. The hope is that the second block of fixtures at home in the Principality will show a more cohesive, clinical Wales, without the travel stress of the away fixtures.
Player Ratings
1: Rhys Carré 4
Lacks the agility of some of his comrades in defence, which showed with his 50/50 defensive record yet again. Held his own against the scrum, which otherwise got demolished, but couldn’t influence on attack either.
2: Dewi Lake 5
Played well for an injured man, though he was taken off a bit too early to make up for Wales’ mixed lineout. Traded blows with Malcolm Marx at the scrum, but there was only going to be one winner in the wider picture.
3: Dillon Lewis 3
The weak link; conceding 5 penalties is just an indefensible position, even against a scrum as potent as South Africa’s. Put up a much better fight around the park, stopping a try mostly on his own with a clutch turnover, but he’s not getting a higher score from that showing at the setpiece.
4: Teddy Williams 4
Weirdly quiet? He didn’t miss any tackles, but given how long he played, he only made 3. Did well in carrying, but for a player known for his workrate, you’d expect to see more of him
5: Adam Beard 6
His best game so far, as Beard’s physicality did a lot to help restrain the Boks’ maul and carries. Made 8 tackles, and generally did well to throw his weight around. Showed the value he can bring on his best days.
6: Alex Mann 6
A clumsy penalty aside, Mann did well to tackle everything in sight and cause some South African headaches. Missed a fair few tackles too, though, so falls behind some of his more consistent colleagues.
7: Jac Morgan 7
Did nothing wrong, just outmuscled a lot. Led the tackle count, as expected, though maybe could’ve brought some more turnovers at the ruck. Generally a consistent if generic showing from a world-class player.
8: Aaron Wainwright 6
On attack, very impressive, though the Boks were ready for his powerful carrying game. On defence, a lot less impressive, as he couldn’t translate that strength to hold back the Boks carriers.
9: Tomos Williams 4
Poor kicking and a fairly slow ruck ball against such a strong defensive team outlined Tomos’ difficult campaign. Like Argentina, he didn’t seem to know how to push the attack until other players gave him an opening, which is concerning for such an experienced player.
10: Dan Edwards 5
With Wales’ not insignificant opportunities in the 22, a goal kick for Edwards would’ve at least made the scoreline look nicer. Kicked better than his halfback partner and made some confident and clever attacking decisions, but his execution wasn’t consistent enough for them to matter.
11: Ellis Mee 7
Mee’s performance deserves extra context; being subbed into the side at the last minute and putting in a strong performance against the world champions should be commended, especially with his reliable aerial work. Continues to show real promise at this level, and looks increasingly comfortable with ball in hand; more so than any of Wales’ other backs.
12: Ben Thomas 6
Answered his critics well; this was one of his best international performances, though his defensive success rate still raises doubts. Constantly looked for work on both sides of the ball, and many of his created opportunities on attack didn’t fail because of his efforts. A far cry from the shy, inaccurate showings we’ve seen from him of late.
13: Max Llewellyn 4
I don’t really know how to rate Llewellyn, because most of his issues are similar to Eddie James’ where Wales don’t seem to have figured out how to use him. His defensive organisation wasn’t great though, and he shouldn’t be getting outshone by Ben Thomas on that front.
14: Louis Rees-Zammit 4
Very passive, unlike Ellis Mee and Joash Adams. Can be dangerous with the ball in hand, but this was the game for him to show his defensive skillset. He didn’t.
15: Blair Murray 4
Very mixed, as he actually held his own in the air, and seems to have quietened that Kryptonite factor, but his defence wasn’t the best. He was regularly missing when the Boks broke the line, and the backline was largely an uncoordinated string of players he should’ve martialed better.
BENCH
16: Ryan Elias 6
Actually very good. Though his first missed tackle led to a Springbok try, Elias did well to front up physically against such opposition, with a considerable haul of carries and tackles relative to his team. His discipline and lineout throwing was off the mark, though.
17: Nicky Smith 4
Didn’t really help the scrum much, but put in a better shift around the park than the earlier props.
18: Ben Warren 3
A clumsy tackle led to a yellow card at an inconvenient time, letting the Boks close out the game without much resistance.
19: Freddie Thomas N/A
Barely noticeable off the bench
20: Tommy Reffell 3
Not doing his future Wales chances much favour; after being controversially dropped by Tandy, Reffell barely got any work done off the bench, not that he was alone in that regard.
21: James Botham 6
As per usual, threw himself across the field with reckless abandon, and easily the best of Wales’ bench. Couldn’t compete with Paul de Villiers on his own, but was far less passive than some of his compatriots towards the end of the contest.
22: Reuben Morgan-Williams N/A
Has potential, but needs to be used more by Tandy. Kept Wales’ ball moving well.
23: Joe Hawkins 6
Playing in a less familiar 13 jersey after Max Llewellyn’s injury, Hawkins put in a solid performance on both sides of the ball. Unfortunately turned over on an otherwise promising carry, and didn’t get much more opportunity to control the game.
Wales Nations Championship 2026 Overall Review
On paper, Wales have achieved what they set out to do: beating the Barbarians with a lot of 2nd choice and uncapped players, comfortably handling Fiji, and putting in determined performances against Argentina and South Africa. They finished 11th in the world rankings; where they started, but with the gap closed by Fiji and Italy’s abysmal winless showings.
That said, the win against Italy was supposed to be a benchmark of Wales’ quality going into future contests. Since then, Wales seem to have gone backwards on a few fronts; they genuinely can’t seem to break lines through any avenues beyond the pure power of Carré and Wainwright, their backline lacks purpose and cohesion, and their first line of defence is mostly non-existent, relying on the quick reflexes and athleticism of their forwards to scramble defence. The setpiece is strong, but not dominant enough to be a reliable option to gain ground. Their playmaking fluctuates between unimaginative in strategy and inconsistent in execution. And with all the legitimate quality and promise a lot of players have shown this season, only about half the starting 15 has truly been locked down if they were to play a World Cup match tomorrow.
Needless to say, Tandy’s work in rebuilding the national side is not done. The team should be commended for how far they’ve come, and sides from both inside and outside Welsh Rugby believe they are on the right path, but it goes without saying that it hasn’t been smooth sailing. There remain multiple significant questions that will need to be answered before they can start to win games against elite opposition.
Key Issues for the 2nd Block:
- Who starts at 12: Eddie James has been one of Wales’ most consistent performers at 13, and that’s slowly becoming his most played position at club level too. But is he better utilised at 12, where he could make more touches, more tackles, and draw in defenders to let Wales exploit wider channels? Joe Hawkins is certainly an international player for the future, but he’s struggled to offer the same go-forward in attack as his Scarlets teammate. Both the regional and national team need to work together to determine how both players are best utilised.
- Who starts at 10: This looked to be a question Wales had solved by the time Tandy took over, but Dan Edwards still hasn’t developed into a complete international. Sam Costelow holds his own as a player, offering more defence and game control, and may end up offering better synergy with James at 12. Jarrod Evans and Callum Sheedy at Cardiff will also look to break through in time for the World Cup.
- Back Three: Ellis Mee continues to grow every campaign, but as one of Wales’ deepest positions, he faces notable competition from Josh Adams and Louis Rees-Zammit, both of whom bring their own strengths. Rio Dyer and Mason Grady will also try to break into a starting lineup, as will Tom Rogers and Gabriel Hamer-Webb. That’s not even getting into fullback Blair Murray is one of Wales’ most exciting attackers, but his aerial weaknesses necessitate the conversation of whether he is the best choice. Angus O’Brien and Cameron Winnett, who are among their clubs most reliable players, will look to replace him.
- Composition of the back row: Jac Morgan and Aaron Wainwright aside, much discussion remains about how to build from there. Alex Mann is a great tackle machine and lineout taker, but does he offer enough go-forward in attack, or would Ryan Woodman’s bulk be more valuable? The 8 jersey also seems entirely contingent on Wainwright’s availability, as between Morse, Kane James, and Olly Cracknell, neither have really established themselves as a backup. Again, not a position where Wales lack quality, but questions will be asked about the direction taken.
- Coaching Setup: I think this is more trouble than it’s worth, given the WRU’s complete failure to establish a complete coaching setup a whole year after Gatland’s departure, but Matt Sherratt and Peter Murchie’s impact on the side isn’t entirely clear. The latter can largely be excused due to a lack of time, but Wales need to be scoring more often than 4 times a game, to say nothing of their limited versatility in attack. Opposing coaches won’t wait for Wales to develop new weapons; they’ll counter their existing plans if new ones aren’t worked on.
Overall, it’s hard to quantify Wales’ success by the end of this campaign, as they haven’t really gone anywhere since the Italy victory. They’re at a similar level to Italy, Fiji, and Japan, and have beaten all three this season, but as other results have shown, there is a gap between this group and the next one, and Wales have a lot to do before they can really close it. Then again, Eddie Jones has been in charge of Japan for three years, and only now have they started racking up consistent performances against other tier 1 opposition, so as long as Wales keep reflecting, reviewing, and improving, that time will come.